The Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins are wrapping up their three game series tonight, and in what could be a pitcher’s duel, our expert likes one team to come out on top.
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Zach Eflin emerged as a pivotal addition to the Tampa Bay Rays’ roster during the offseason, substantially bolstering their lineup and addressing key gaps. His performance has been nothing short of exceptional, making him a standout asset.
With a 3.55 ERA juxtaposed against a 2.93 xERA, Eflin’s pitching prowess is evident. Notable metrics include an 8.4% Barrel Rate, an Average Exit Velocity of 87.1 mph, and a Hard-Hit Rate of 35.1%. His impressive strikeout rate stands at 25.7%, accompanied by an exceptionally low 3.5% walk rate.
In the upcoming Wednesday matchup, Eflin will square off against Jesús Luzardo and the Miami Marlins. While Luzardo displays remarkable potential, his recent performance reveals a challenging August, marked by a 7.85 ERA over 18 1/3 innings.
On the season, he maintains a 3.77 ERA compared to a 4.16 xERA. His metrics encompass a Barrel Rate surpassing 10% and an Average Exit Velocity of 90 mph. Notably, his Hard-Hit Rate stands at 42.2%, with a 7% walk rate and an impressive strikeout rate of 27.9%.
Examining the starting pitching facet, Eflin undeniably holds the edge. Furthermore, Tampa Bay’s proficiency against left-handed pitchers this month is evident, boasting a 110 wRC+, a 10.6% walk rate, and a .728 OPS. In contrast, Miami’s performance against right-handed pitchers this month reflects a 90 wRC+, a 7.1% walk rate, and a .709 OPS.
Ultimately, when considering the advantages across crucial components of the game, supporting Tampa Bay as a slight favorite emerges as the logical decision.
The pick: Rays ML -115
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