Zack Wheeler puts Phillies one game from World Series return



PHOENIX — The Chase Field scoreboard often calls for “chaos,” and for two days the home team and the crowd obliged as the upstart Diamondbacks scrapped their way back into a surprise tie in the National League Championship Series via loud and late-game heroics. But Saturday night in the pivotal Game 5, Phillies ace (and former Met) Zack Wheeler with the aid of the familiar October combo of Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper, calmed things down here considerably, returning a sense of normalcy and predictability to the proceedings.

Thanks mostly to Wheeler, one of the best big-game pitchers going, who Mets doctors recommended against signing (more on that later), the underdog Diamondbacks were also returned to an ultra-difficult spot following the 6-1 Phillies victory. The Diamondbacks head to Philly’s unfriendly confines, Citizens Bank Park, down three to two in games and needing to sweep two against a team that is an October-best 28-11 in their home park.

The Phillies may also be baseball’s top performer in the free-agent market, and the $118 million, five-year deal three winters ago for Wheeler, which looked like an overpay back then, has turned out to be one of the best starting pitching signings ever, right up there with Greg Maddux, Mike Mussina and Max Scherzer (the Nats’ version of course).

Zack Wheeler allowed just one run over seven innings to help lead the Phillies to a 6-1 victory over the Diamondbacks in Game 5 of the NLCS.
AP

Anyway, Wheeler was the best antidote for what temporarily ailed the Phillies, a shutdown starter a day after their bullpen was basically emptied and Phillies hitters were just slightly off their usual overwhelming game. Wheeler’s seven stellar innings were just what the doctor ordered as the sides prepared to return to Philly for more bedlam (the chaos here was darned good, but it’s tough to top that bedlam).

Harper said he told Wheeler afterward, “You’re one of the best pitchers I’ve ever played with.” Later, he said Wheeler was in the “top three,” with the others presumably Scherzer and Stephen Strasburg.

“Whenever he toes the rubber, you’ve got a chance,” Schwarber said of Wheeler. “He’s the ultimate competitor. He’s not fazed by anything. He takes pride in being the ultimate stopper.”

Bryce Harper belts a solo homer in the fourth inning of the Phillies’ Game 5 win in the NLCS.
AP

The Diamondbacks do not scare easy either and they are resilient as hell, but if they watched closely they saw a Philly team that showed the same quality following two tough defeats.

Schwarber and Harper, two more outstanding free-agent signings by Philly, hit a pair of monster homers in the sixth inning off Diamondbacks ace Zac Gallen, and the Phillies have now outhomered their opponents 22-5 this October.

They also showed speed, with the superstar Harper, the hero of this postseason so far, stealing home on a finely-executed double steal. Third base coach Dusty Wathan told Harper and Bryson Stott, who swiped second in the maneuver, to “be aggressive,” and the stratagem made it 2-0 early and grabbed the momentum back after two disheartening defeats.

“It was great we were able to turn the page,” Schwarber said.

Wheeler didn’t need much help, and though his $24.5 million salary is merely 59 percent of each of the Mets’ salaries of Justin Verlander and Scherzer, who are both still going for other playoff teams, I am not here to bash the Mets. When the Mets decided not to try hard to keep their own Zack Wheeler as a free agent three winters ago, I got it.

Wheeler owned an extremely ordinary 100 ERA-plus at that point. Mets doctors were among other medical people who recommended against signing due to his medical history, including his Tommy John surgery. The $118 million cost seemed steep. And of course, Steve Cohen was only known as an equity trader and art collector back then, so the Mets’ budget was somewhat less than limitless.

Kyle Schwarber, who hit a solo homer, celebrates after the Phillies’ Game 5 win in the NLCS.
Getty Images

The final figure did seem startling at the time, but give advanced analytics credit for this one. The numbers guys who saw the velocity that sometimes hit 100 mph and analytics clues suggested a lot more was in the tank. Plus, Wheeler has made mechanical adjustments since, taking pressure off his elbow by altering his arm path and eliminating his wrist curl.

These things are tough to predict, and as it turns out, Wheeler has proven to be one of the healthiest and sturdiest pitchers since moving 90 miles to the south. The Phillies have been right more than anyone when it comes to these big-ticket signings, and almost from the start Wheeler showed he’d become nothing short of one of the best free agent signings ever. In his three seasons in Philly, Wheeler is fourth in innings pitched with 629 ¹/₃ (behind Gerrit Cole, Sandy Alcantara and Aaron Nola), fourth in starters ERA at 3.08, fifth in WHIP at 1.06, ninth in opponent batting average at .224 and fifth in strikeout-to-walk ratio at a neat 5-to-1.

He’s been even better in the postseason. His 0.70 October ERA is the all-time best, just ahead of the great Mariano Rivera’s 0.72. So he’s topped the great Yankee, and showed the Mets while pitching the Phillies to within a game of the World Series.



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