We did it again! Our Week 15 NFL plays on PrizePicks went 4-0 last week, so if you used them in the Power Play, you were able to 10x your buy-in.
We’ll look to keep it going here in Week 16.
There are a lot of slates this Christmas weekend, but we will focus on the nine morning and afternoon games on Sunday.
Joe Flacco (Browns) more than 244.5 passing yards
Flacco, who came through for us last week, has thrown for at least 250 yards in all three of his starts this season. After being a run-first team all season, the Browns have let Flacco air it out since he took over the quarterback duties in Cleveland.
This should be another pass-heavy game plan for the Browns, as the Texans have been a pass-funnel matchup all season. Houston is fifth in DVOA against the run and 23rd in DVOA against the pass.
This projection for Flacco seems too low for a quarterback in this matchup who has attempted at least 44 passes in each of his three starts.
Bijan Robinson (Falcons) more than 84.5 rushing + receiving yards
Putting faith in Arthur Smith is never fun, but he’s on the coaching hot seat and we have a squeaky-wheel narrative brewing with Robinson.
The rookie running back was heavily featured in Weeks 10-13 and the team went 3-0 during that stretch. Over the last two games, Robinson has only had a total of 23 touches.
This is essentially a must-win game for the Falcons (and perhaps Smith), and I expect them to go right back to their star running back.
The matchup is certainly enticing, as the Colts have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards and the fifth-most receiving yards to running backs this season.
Trey McBride (Cardinals) more than 60.5 receiving yards
It’s wild to think McBride was playing behind Zach Ertz at the start of the season.
Over the last seven games, he’s been one of the most productive tight ends in the NFL., with at least 60 receiving yards in five of those games.
Now he faces a Bears team that has allowed the third-most receptions to tight ends this season.
Kyler Murray clearly likes throwing to McBride, who has commanded a total of 29 targets over the last three games.
Betting on the NFL?
Chase McLaughlin (Buccaneers) more than 1.5 field goals made
With kicker projections, I look for teams that are favored and are playing in games with good weather (or indoors).
The Buccaneers are small favorites at home against the Jaguars. Both teams are better at defending the run than the pass, which should result in more plays for each offense (more clock stoppages).
The high pass volume is also good for kickers with more third-and-long situations.
McLaughlin has made at least two field goals in 10 of 14 games this season, and his setup for Sunday looks ideal for at least two more.
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