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Phillies vs Braves Pick
The pitching outs line has seen a decrease due to Rob Thomson’s aggressive bullpen management in Game 1. However, I anticipate that the Phillies’ ace will have more flexibility in Monday’s game, especially if the Phillies are leading in the series. Wheeler has now achieved the lowest postseason WHIP in MLB history, considering a minimum of 40 innings, surpassing even legendary pitchers like Mariano Rivera and Sandy Koufax.
Wheeler’s approach doesn’t heavily rely on strikeouts to secure outs, so he typically avoids working deep counts. In his recent Wild Card Round start against the Marlins, his fastball velocity reached its season peak, indicating that he’s poised for at least five innings in Game 2.
Throughout the regular season, Wheeler faced the Braves three times, including two games in September. Even in a subpar outing, he managed to pitch five innings. He’s among the top 10 in Location+ among MLB starters and maintains a low walk rate, suggesting that he won’t be giving away free passes to Braves hitters.
While Thomson may have been concerned with using a left-handed pitcher against the top of the Braves’ order in Game 1, Wheeler’s strong track record and right-handedness should allow him to remain on the mound for additional outs in this matchup.
Pick: Zack Wheeler over 14.5 outs -155
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