It’s hard to believe, but there are only five more weeks left in the NFL regular season.
There’s nothing quite like the NFL playoffs, but that means far fewer choices when it comes to PrizePicks.
We are coming off of a down week, so we’ll look to get back on track in Week 14.
Here are my four favorite picks for the Sunday morning and afternoon games.
Jahmyr Gibbs more than 26.5 receiving yards
We know the Bears are tough against the run, but they have allowed more receiving yards to running backs than any team in the NFL. In fact, they have allowed 120 more receiving yards than the next closest defense.
Gibbs has at least five targets in five of his last six games and at least 35 receiving yards in four of his last six games.
We shouldn’t have to worry too much about the game script, as the Lions are only three-point favorites in Chicago. And with high winds forecast, expect Jared Goff to utilize Gibbs with short passes.
Zack Moss more than 0.5 passing + receiving + rushing touchdowns
Everyone in the fantasy football world had high hopes for Moss last week against the Titans.
Unfortunately, he had one of his worst games of the season. Perhaps we should have seen it coming given the matchup against Tennessee.
With Jonathan Taylor still out, Moss will be the feature back once again. He draws a much better matchup this week, as the Bengals are 29th in DVOA against the run and 30th in rush EPA.
Moss is a good bet to see 20-plus touches in this game. I like his chances of finding the end zone.
Blake Grupe more than 1.5 field goals made
When it comes to kicker projections, I like to look for teams that are favored and games that don’t have any weather concerns.
The Saints are 5.5-point favorites against Carolina, and they are playing at home, which is obviously in a dome.
The Panthers have one of the worst run defenses in the NFL, so expect the Saints to move the ball with ease in this game. They might also benefit from some short fields if they can force Bryce Young into mistakes.
Grupe has made at least two field goals in seven of 12 games this season.
Betting on the NFL?
Alvin Kamara more than 59.5 rushing yards
Even though Kamara is arguably a bigger weapon catching the ball out of the backfield than he is on the ground,
I fully expect the Saints to lean on the running game against the Panthers, who are last in both DVOA against the run and rush EPA this season.
This projection seems low given the matchup and the fact that Kamara has at least 14 rush attempts in six of nine games this season.
After three tough losses in a row, expect the Saints to focus on limiting mistakes and take advantage of Carolina’s biggest weakness.
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