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Phillies vs. Diamondbacks pick
A crucial Game 4 of the NLCS begins tonight in Phoenix when the Arizona Diamondbacks host the Philadelphia Phillies.
The Phillies are favored by 1.5 runs in this game, but I’m more interested in the over/under of 9.5 runs. Philly starter Cristopher Sanchez was good in the regular season and the Diamondbacks bullpen has been effective this postseason, so the under feels like the move.
Arizona is starting left-handed pitcher Joe Mantiply tonight, who has given up zero earned runs in three of his four appearances this postseason. This will be a bullpen game for the Diamondbacks, and perhaps they are leaning into a strength, because D-Backs relievers have combined for a 3.41 ERA in the 2023 playoffs.
Sanchez is also a good option for the Phillies. He started 18 games for Philadelphia this year and finished with a 3.44 ERA, a 1.05 WHIP, and 96 strikeouts. Even though Sanchez has not pitched in the postseason, Phillies manager Rob Thomson said he has a lot of confidence in him.
I expect Sanchez and Arizona’s bullpen to pitch fairly well tonight, so hop on the under with bonus code NYPNEWS on bet365 Sportsbook.
Pick: UNDER 9.5 runs
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