Cherish every moment of regular season football that we have left. Week 16 has arrived and there are only three weeks of games left.
This Sunday is a loaded week of NFL action with some headlining games including Dolphins-Cowboys and Patriots-Broncos on “Sunday Night Football.”
Below, we target some of those games with our player props and picks for Week 16.
Yesterday, we had just three player prop wagers across the two games; we have more tasty action ahead of Sunday.
Happy holidays and best of luck.
Week 16 NFL player prop picks for Christmas Eve Sunday
Bryce Young over .5 passing touchdown -147 (Caesars) | 2+ passing TDs +400 (bet365)
Bryce Young hasn’t thrown a touchdown pass in four weeks, the NFL world is laughing at the leagues No. 1 overall pick. But the Packers defense is among the worst in the league so if he’s going to throw a touchdown, this is the week to do so here.
Eight touchdowns in their last four games, including allowing undrafted free agent Tommy DeVito to carve them up and throw a touchdown pass as well.
It’s time for Young to show up a bad passing defense, among the worst in the NFL.
Tyreek Hill over 86.5 receiving yards -114 (FanDuel) | 150+ +600 (Bet365)
Let’s assume Tyreek Hill plays this weekend, it’s a shootout spot against the Cowboys. And Hill is, after all still looking to break Calvin Johnson’s receiving record and be the first to reach 2,000 yards.
In order to do that, he will need to average 133 receiving yards per game, a big ask but not impossible.
Some stats curtosy of FTN’s Aaron Schatz who is the creator of DVOA.
- Cowboys play the third most man coverage in the NFL (51.1 percent)
- Second worst deep ball completion percent in the NFL when playing man coverage (53.1 percent)
- Hill annhilates man coverage, converting 72.4 percent of throws as a completion.
Betting on the NFL?
Target Hill in this massive game with a ladder up to 150+ receiving yards as he looks to target this still obtainable receiving yards record.
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