Week 12 of the NFL season is upon us.
A red-hot player prop streak has befallen us in recent weeks.
After getting to as low as 9.46 units of profit, we have rebounded in fantastic form the past two weeks, totaling 18.493 units of profit just last week and 6.9 units the week prior.
Of course, a big help was a ridiculous hit on Jaylen Warren to rush for 100+ yards at +1500, which he did with relative ease, running 129 against the Browns.
The good times keep rolling this weekend with Week 12 NFL player props, where we’re picking at an extremely high clip.
Our record on the season is now up to 26-29 (47.27 percent), but the 34.853 units of profit give you everything you need to know about our strategy.
If you bet $10 on every player prop posted about each week here, you would’ve bet through $550 and profited $358.53 up to this point, a very stable 63.37 percent return on investment (ROI) this NFL season.
Let’s attack more long-shot player props this weekend.
Week 12 NFL player props and picks
Cooper Kupp over 67.5 receiving yards | 125+ +925 | 150+ 16/1 (Bet365)
Cooper Kupp already had his way with the Arizona Cardinals once before this season, going for 148 yards on seven catches, including a 49-yard long grab.
The Cardinals get absolutely roasted by the deep ball, allowing an ungodly 58.8 percent completion rate on deep balls, the worst in the NFL by far.
Kupp is the only genuine deep threat on the roster, as he averages 2.89 air yards per route run, near the top of the league (15th).
In his last four games against the Cardinals, Kupp has blown past 120 yards twice and should be expected to have a huge showing in a shootout spot between the Cardinals and Rams.
Remember, Tank Dell had 120 yards in the first half for the Texans in Week 11.
Ladder his props accordingly, with Bet365 throwing the best numbers out as usual.
Rachaad White over 27.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM) | 50+ +320 (DraftKings)
The Colts leak receiving stats to opposing running backs, and their odd decision to cut Shaq Leonard leads me to fade them even more.
White is over 27.5 receiving yards in five straight games and over 50 receiving in 2/5, however, he ended two games with 46 and 47 yards, so he’s been right there many times.
50+ at +320 seems like a gift and exactly what we are looking for with longer chance bets.
Target White everywhere with your wagers on Sunday.
Betting on the NFL?
Jaylen Warren over 47.5 rushing yards -114 (BetRivers) | 125+ 15/1 (Bet365)
As a Jaylen Warren guy, it would be borderline sac-religious to not bet him again after cashing against the league-best run defense in Cleveland.
The Bengals allow the second-worst 5.0 yards per carry in the NFL, yet oddsmakers still aren’t showing Warren the respect he deserves with this rushing prop number.
Warren is over 100 yards in back-to-back games and cleared 125 last week against one of the league’s best defenses.
Running for over 100 in three straight games is highly unlikely, but the odds are also suggesting that is the case, so it’s still worth betting.
If the Warren train keeps chugging this week and cashes the top end of this ladder, I’ll have to buy his jersey.
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