The NFL season is beginning to dwindle as we enter Week 13 and December begins; winter is coming for the sportsbooks.
After two historically great weeks in Weeks 10 and 11, we took a step backward in Week 12.
Our profit margin fell from 34.853 units down to 30.73, and our quest for .500 status took a hit as well.
On the year, we are down to 27-34 but obviously, those include many long-shot stabs that have had varying degrees of success.
If you bet $10 on every bet we put out there, you would be up $300.73 and a 49.3 Return on Investment is some of the best results you’ll see in a single season.
Expect more long shot player prop bets going forward.
But especially with our Week 13 NFL player props and picks.
Week 13 NFL player props and picks
Brock Purdy over 1.5 passing touchdowns -124 (BetRivers)
Best bet of the weekend is in a game that I expect the 49ers to win against the Eagles. The Eagles’ secondary is far from elite and relies heavily on their pass rush to hide their weaknesses.
Philadelphia is allowing the second-most passing touchdowns in the NFL, behind only the Washington Commanders.
There may be some concern here that the 49ers will look to “run CMC” to victory, but that could be harder this week than it has been in the past.
McCaffrey is leading the NFL in touchdowns scored, but the Eagles allow the second-least rushing touchdowns in the NFL.
Opposing receivers absolutely roast the Eagles’ secondary, and I wouldn’t expect that to stop this week in a massive must-win for the Niners with 10 days to prepare.
De’Von Achane over 45.5 rushing yards | 100+ +1425 (Bet365)
He’s back, and he’s going to play. De’Von Achane is the most talented running back in Miami and has been cleared to play this weekend in a projected shootout against the Commanders.
Achane has cleared 100 yards in three of the five games he’s played in, and the Commanders’ run defense is nothing to write home about.
Betting on the NFL?
Ranking middle of the pack in yards per carry, Achane should never be +1425 to run for 100 yards based on how electrifying he’s looked in the early going.
Bet Achane this weekend at these phenomenal odds on Bet365.
Trevor Lawrence over 10.5 rushing yards -120 (BetMGM) | 25+ +330 | anytime rushing touchdown +430 (FanDuel)
Over this number already in nine of his last 11 games, Trevor Lawrence is using that skill and athleticism in his third year in the league.
This line is fantastic to target, especially considering the Bengals allow the second most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks in the NFL.
Lawrence also has been a darling around the goal line, getting in the end zone with his legs three times in his last two games.
Look for Lawrence to run wild against a Bengals team that is taking on water and sinking.
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